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[前沿资讯] African swine fever takes toll on China’s corn sector 进入全文

FT中文网

The rapid spread of African swine fever has taken its toll on companies operating in China’s corn sector, where prices have plummeted after a sharp fall in demand for hog feed, the primary use of the crop. Prices of one-month corn futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange have lost 10 per cent to Rmb1,859 per tonne since May. The decline shows that the effects of African swine fever, which is incurable and has triggered mass culls in China, are rippling into other sectors that rely heavily on pig farming.

[学术文献] Vulnerability of British farms to post-Brexit subsidy removal, and implications for intensification, extensification and land sparing 进入全文

Land Use Policy

On the 23rd June 2016, the UK referendum on European Union (EU) membership resulted in a vote to leave the EU. This departure, should it occur, would see the implementation of a new agricultural policy within the UK which will most likely see the removal of direct financial support to farmers. In this study, we use combined agricultural survey and rural payments data to evaluate the extent of reliance upon Pillar 1 payments, based on a sample of 24,492 (i.e. 70%) of farm holdings in Wales. This approach eliminates some of the variation found in the Farm Business Survey through the delivery of a more comprehensive picture on the numbers and types of farm holding potentially facing economic hardship and the quantities of land and livestock associated with those holdings. We estimate ˜34% of our sampled Welsh farm holdings face serious financial difficulties and show ˜44% of agricultural land on sampled farm holdings in Wales being vulnerable to land use change or abandonment. Based on our results, we consider the potential social and ecological impacts that the removal of direct payments may have on land use in Wales. We also discuss the use of a more balanced approach to land management that could support governmental visions to keep farmers on the land, improve productivity and deliver high quality ‘Public Goods’.

[前沿资讯] What a China/US Trade Peace Could Mean for Soybean Stocks, Prices 进入全文

GRO

Following what is perhaps the first meaningful step toward ending the US/China trade war, we are able to quantify what such a resolution could mean for US soybean stocks and futures prices. The Trump administration recently announced “phase one” of a deal in which China purchases $40 billion to $50 billion in US agricultural products, including large amounts of soybeans, the crop most heavily weighed down by the trade dispute. While the US has only agreed to halt further tariff increases, and China publicly has been less confident about the resolution, the announcement seems intended to signal an inflection point.

[行业报告] the State of Food and Agriculture 2019 进入全文

FAO

On the occasion of the release of the State of Food and Agriculture 2019. Moving forward on food loss and waste reduction, here is a selection of FAO titles exploring the linkages between food loss and waste and food security, and suggesting ways of reducing waste while improving nutrition and environmental sustainability.

[前沿资讯] Ghana’s cocoa farmers are trapped by the chocolate industry 进入全文

theconversation

The chocolate industry is worth more than $80 billion a year. But some cocoa farmers in parts of West Africa are poorer now than they were in the 1970s or 1980s. In other areas, artificial support for cocoa farming is creating a debt problem. Farmers are also still under pressure to supply markets in wealthy countries instead of securing their own future.

[前沿资讯] Monsoon Turnabout Shifts India’s Crop Outlook 进入全文

GRO

Early concerns about India’s annual monsoon rainfall totals proved premature as a strong surge in the second half of the season more than offset the lackluster start. In fact, a late departure of the monsoon from the subcontinent means rainfall continues to be strong in early October. While the rainfall volatility has brought its own crop concerns, including floods pressuring production prospects of some crops like soybeans, the strong boost to soil moisture reserves aid many summer-grown crops such as cotton and corn.

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