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Effects of the Chinese arable land fallow system and land-use change on agricultural production and on the economy

中国耕地休闲制度和土地利用变化对农业生产和经济的影响

关键词:
来源:
Economic Modelling
全文链接1:
http://agri.ckcest.cn/topic/downloadFile/0df72f38-8835-4395-bd76-267c95a1300a
全文链接2:
类型:
学术文献
语种:
英语
原文发布日期:
2019-06-07
摘要:
This study focuses on economic effects of arable land fallow system and land-use change in China using a dynamic single-country, multi-regional computable general equilibrium model. Land supply is adjusted endogenously in our model. Land use in each of 31 provinces is tracked by a land-use change module, which is calibrated with satellite data. Our results reveal that the expansion of real output can be attributed to the increase in capital stock as a result of the growth of investment due to the imposition of the arable land fallow system in China. And the growth of investment is caused by the release of labor from agriculture The reduced supply of arable land in agricultural land contraction regions is partially offset by the increasing arable land in agricultural land expansion regions. Rural households benefit more than urban households from the arable land fallow policy due to relatively higher income and lower rural CPI.
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